Probability: Independent Events
How to find and use the probability of independent events: formula, 3 examples, and their solutions.
Formula
Independent events are the events
that do not affect each other.
If A and B are independent events,
then
P(A and B) = P(A)⋅P(B).
P(A): Probability of an event A happening
P(B): Probability of an event B happening
Example
Set A as
getting a multiple of 3 from a fair die.
Then n(A) = 1.
A die has 6 sides.
So n(S) = 6.
Then P(A) = 1/6.
Probability
Set B as
getting a head from a coin.
Then n(B) = 1.
A coin has 2 sides.
So n(S) = 2.
Then P(B) = 1/2.
Getting a 3 from a die (A)
and
getting a head from a coin (B)
do not affect each other.
So A and B are independent events.
P(A) = 1/6
P(B) = 1/2
So
P(A and B) = [1/6]⋅[1/2].
[1/6]⋅[1/2] = 1/12
So 1/12 is the answer.
Example
First, let's see the 1st pick.
There are 5, 4, and 3 marbles in the jar.
So n(S) = 5 + 4 + 3.
5 + 4 = 9
9 + 3 = 12
So n(S) = 12.
This means,
for the 1st pick,
there are 12 marbles.
There are 5 blue marbles.
So n(A) = 5.
n(S) = 12
So P(A) = 5/12.
Probability
Next, let's see the 2nd pick.
It says
a marble is randomly picked from the jar
and [replaced].
So the 1st pick (A)
doesn't affect the 2nd pick (B).
So A and B are independent events.
A and B are both
picking a blue marble
in the same condition.
(because of the replacement)
So P(A) and P(B) are the same.
So P(B) = P(A) = 5/12.
P(A) = 5/12
P(B) = 5/12
A and B are independent events.
So
P(A and B) = [5/12]⋅[5/12].
5⋅5 = 25
12⋅12 = 144
So 25/144 is the answer.
Example
A and B are independent events.
P(A) = 4/7
P(B) is unknown.
P(A and B) = 1/7
Then
[1/4]⋅P(B) = 4/7.
Multiply 7 to both sides.
Then 4⋅P(B) = 1.
Divide both sides by 4.
Then P(B) = 1/4.
P(A) = 4/7
P(B) = 1/4
P(A and B) = 1/7
Then
P(A or B) = 4/7 + 1/4 - 1/7.
Probability: A or B
Change the denominators to 28.
[4/7]⋅[4/4] = 16/28
+[1/4]⋅[7/7] = +7/28
-[1/7]⋅[4/4] = -4/28
16/28 + 7/28 - 4/28 = 19/28
So 19/28 is the answer.